"Concerning age/sex classes: there is no specific criterion to tell them apart objectively (as of yet). Some folks have developed a way to tell sex among chicks at nest (see attachment), but in the field, especially in winter at low latitude, it is pretty much a guess in all cases. The only group that we can identify with confidence is adult males. For the rest, (except when you are facing a nest and you can tell female from male easily), it relies on feelings! People have long thought that snowies were getting whiter with age. This was mostly based on captive birds. We got lucky and photograph the same female wearing a satellite transmitter in 2 winters (2008 and 2010). That female actually got significantly darker! We were amazed. A specialist of plumage coloration and molt in birds said he was unable to understand the actual pattern in snowies (since the number of wild bird being captured remains low). So, a lot more debates to come!"
When JF wrote: "see attachment" he was referring to a PDF of a paper published in the Journal of Raptor Research in 2011. (I can forward the PDF if you contact me directly - not via the listserv). Researchers accurately predicted the sex of 140 nestlings 100% of the time by studying the remiges and retrices. Secondaries were best but outer primaries and central/deck tail feathers worked as well. The dark "spotting" on the flight feathers of the nestlings were comprised of pigmentation running the width of the feathers creating bars and circles of pigmentation on either side of the rachis not reaching the edges creating spots. Males had more spots than bars and females had more bars than spots. So if you feel compelled to label the birds you find, be sure to study/photograph the open wing and spread tail carefully. *Note - The paper does not talk about the effectiveness of using this protocol on anything older than a juvenile so you have to accurately age the bird first. It might work with older birds but it has yet to be studied.
The other area of discussion is the cause of the irruptions. Nobody debates the predator-prey connection. Lemmings make up the bulk of the diet on the breeding grounds and their populations are cyclical. The size of a Snowy Owl clutch is variable. Females assess how successful their mate is at bringing her lemmings at the beginning of the breeding season and she lays eggs accordingly. In years with lots of lemmings, she will lay lots of eggs. Debate comes in when the birds irrupt southward. So, has the lemming population crashed and starving birds are forced to migrate or do we see them down here when the Snowy Owls have big breeding seasons and there are lots of young birds dispersing? I posed this question to JF as well:
"As for the irruption, you are quite right. Almost every year that we see a good reproduction in the eastern Arctic, we have some sort of winter irruption down in QC and New England. Last summer was fantastic in Northern Quebec. I was there at the tip of the province and we found several nests, all of which having large clutches and several lemmings piled up on the surrounding. We expected to see some irruption because all of those chicks are starting to wander around, and they are now reaching our latitudes."
Die-offs eventually follow these spikes as nature corrects itself but I for one will be riding the high this winter.
Good birding,
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